Back

Science Advances

52 training papers 2019-06-25 – 2026-03-07

Top medRxiv preprints most likely to be published in this journal, ranked by match strength.

1
Sex-stratified Integrated Analysis of US lung Cancer Mortality, 1994-2020
2026-03-06 oncology 10.64898/2026.03.01.26347234
Top 0.7% (1.5%)
Show abstract

Importance: Lung cancer mortality in the United States has fallen substantially in recent decades, yet the relative influence of behavioral, environmental, socioeconomic, and therapeutic factors and their sex specific contributions remains unclear. Understanding these drivers is essential to sustain progress and reduce persistent disparities. Objective: To quantify how behavioral, environmental, socioeconomic, and therapeutic determinants collectively shaped US lung cancer mortality from 1994 to...

2
Air pollution exposure in Generation Scotland: molecular fingerprints and health outcomes
2026-03-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347573
Top 0.8% (1.5%)
Show abstract

Ambient air pollution has been associated with increased incidence of chronic disease and is estimated to contribute towards 4.2 million early deaths annually. Whilst the health impacts are well described, less is understood about the underlying biological mechanisms, particularly when considering the co-occurrence of multiple pollutants. Using an atmospheric chemistry transportation model (EMEP4UK), we generate pre-baseline sampling pollution exposure estimates for eight pollutants in Generatio...

3
Inferring Respiratory Disease Biology from Geolocation Data
2026-03-05 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347578
Top 2% (1.2%)
Show abstract

Biological fitness quantifies the efficiency and selective advantage of pathogens and hosts in their bilateral interaction. Key questions--such as how much more infectious an emerging variant is compared with its predecessor, or how much protection vaccination offers relative to no vaccination--require fitness to be measured systematically, in real time, and ideally beyond controlled laboratory settings. We propose an approach that infers biological fitness from mostly non-biological data on inf...

4
Exploring Electroencephalography for Chronic Pain Biomarkers: A Large-Scale Benchmark of Data- and Hypothesis-Driven Models
2026-03-06 pain medicine 10.64898/2026.03.06.26347785
Top 2% (1.2%)
Show abstract

Resting-state electroencephalography (EEG) has been proposed as a scalable source of biomarkers for chronic pain, but its clinical potential remains uncertain. To systematically evaluate this potential, we benchmarked nine modeling strategies, spanning conventional machine learning with handcrafted features to state-of-the-art deep learning. Across 72 configurations of signal representations and model architectures, we trained models to predict self-reported pain intensity, using chronological a...

5
Role of relapse and multiple time delays in shaping Nipah virus epidemic dynamics: a mathematical modeling study
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.02.26347485
Top 3% (0.9%)
Show abstract

Nipah virus (NiV) is a sporadic yet extremely deadly zoonotic pathogen, with reported case fatality rates of 40%-75% in impacted areas. Prolonged incubation, documented relapse, and delayed-onset encephalitis following apparent recovery indicate that NiV dynamics are influenced by intricate temporal processes. However, mechanistic contributions of these processes to epidemic persistence remain poorly understood. In this study, we develop and analyze a delay differential equation model for NiV tr...

6
Personalizing neuromodulation for chronic pain: A connectivity-guided trial
2026-03-04 pain medicine 10.64898/2026.03.02.26347430
Top 4% (0.9%)
Show abstract

In this randomized, double-blind, controlled trial of 8 weeks of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) for chronic pain, we compared the classic primary motor cortex (M1) rTMS with a novel target-selection strategy based on pre-therapy cortical connectivity. Guided by principles of homeostatic plasticity, we tested whether stimulating the cortical site with the lowest pre-therapy global connectivity would be more effective than two active comparators: stimulating the site with the ...

7
Sleep consistency is a low-cost reliable indicator of nocturnal glycemic control: observations from 227,860 nights of real world, free-living smart ring and continuous glucose monitoring data
2026-03-04 public and global health 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347496
Top 4% (0.8%)
Show abstract

Nocturnal glucose regulation is modulated by autonomic and circadian mechanisms, yet their dynamic interplay in apparently healthy, free-living populations remains poorly studied. Here, we assessed 227,860 nights of concurrent sleep data from Ultrahuman AIR ring and M1 continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) system across 5849 adults globally to examine nocturnal cardio-metabolic coupling. We found that higher sleep consistency was inversely associated with glucose variability, and vice versa. Unsup...

8
Prediction of incident coronary artery disease in individuals with zero coronary artery calcium using a novel multi-ancestry, label-free polygenic risk score framework
2026-03-04 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.03.02.26347474
Top 5% (0.7%)
Show abstract

BackgroundA coronary artery calcium (CAC) score of 0 is widely considered to indicate low short- to intermediate-term risk for coronary artery disease (CAD) and is frequently used to defer lipid-lowering therapy. However, a subset of individuals with CAC=0 still experience events, highlighting residual risk not captured by imaging alone. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) quantify lifelong inherited susceptibility, but conventional approaches rely on predefined ancestry labels despite human genetic div...

9
Differentiating radiation necrosis from recurrent brain metastases using magnetic resonance elastography
2026-03-06 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347674
Top 5% (0.7%)
Show abstract

Abstract Background: Conventional MRI cannot reliably distinguish radiation necrosis (RN) from recurrent metastasis after cranial radiotherapy, as both can show similar enhancement despite different biology. We tested whether these entities are mechanically non-equivalent in vivo and separable by MRE-derived viscoelastic metrics and perilesional interface-instability features. Methods: In a prospective, histopathology-anchored cohort, 11 post-radiotherapy enhancing lesions were classified as RN ...

10
Cost-effectiveness of addressing constraints in childhood acute malnutrition management in Malawi using the Thanzi La Onse health system simulation framework
2026-03-06 nutrition 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347696
Top 5% (0.7%)
Show abstract

Background Acute malnutrition remains a major public health challenge among children under five in Malawi due to undetected and untreated cases. While several policies and programmes are in place, they face significant resource input and implementation constraints. In this study, we evaluate the potential health impact and cost-effectiveness of three interventions designed to address constraints along the care pathway in childhood acute malnutrition management. These include improving early reco...

11
Genetic liability to hip osteoarthritis confers neurovascular protection against Alzheimer's disease despite depression-mediated phenotypic comorbidity
2026-03-04 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347509
Top 6% (0.7%)
Show abstract

BackgroundThe relationship between hip osteoarthritis (hip OA) and Alzheimers disease (AD) presents a critical paradox within the emerging "bone-brain axis": widespread phenotypic comorbidity sharply contradicts evolutionary theories of biological antagonism. This study integrates longitudinal and multi-omic analyses to determine whether this clinical overlap masks an underlying genetic neuroprotection. MethodsWe analyzed longitudinal phenotypic data from 261,767 UK Biobank participants using C...

12
A bootstrap particle filter for viral Rt inference and forecasting using wastewater data
2026-03-06 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.06.26347747
Top 6% (0.7%)
Show abstract

Wastewater is increasingly being recognized as an important data stream that can contribute to infectious disease surveillance and forecasting. With this recognition, a growing number of statistical inference approaches are being developed to use wastewater data to provide quantitative insights into epidemiological dynamics. However, few existing approaches have allowed for systematic integration of data streams for inference, for example by combining case incidence data and/or serological data ...

13
Identifying Single-Nucleotide Polymorphisms Intersecting Alzheimer Disease Pathology and End-of-Life Traits Using Genomic Informational Field Theory (GIFT)
2026-03-06 pathology 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347710
Top 6% (0.7%)
Show abstract

Background: Quantitative genome wide association studies (GWAS) primarily rely on additive linear models that compare average phenotypic differences between genotype groups. While effective for detecting common variants of moderate effect in large sample sizes, such approaches inherently reduce high resolution phenotypic data to summary statistics (group averages), potentially limiting the detection of subtle genotype phenotype relationships. Genomic Informational Field Theory (GIFT) is a recent...

14
Targeted Long-Read sequencing provides functional validation of variants predicted to alter splicing
2026-03-06 neurology 10.64898/2026.03.02.26346984
Top 7% (0.7%)
Show abstract

Background Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) has improved the diagnosis of rare genetic disorders, yet interpretation of non-coding variants that affect splicing remains challenging. In silico predictions alone are insufficient, and short-read RNA sequencing may fail to capture complex or low-abundance splicing events. Targeted amplicon-based long-read RNA sequencing (Amp-LRS) offers a cost-effective approach for functional validation of candidate splice-altering variants. Methods We applied Amp-LRS...

15
Exploring the exposome and unexplained variance in biological ageing - insights from a longitudinal twin study in adolescence and early adulthood
2026-03-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.03.26347499
Top 7% (0.7%)
Show abstract

Biological ageing begins before birth, with early-life exposures shaping late-life health. These exposures drive health inequities early, yet specific exposures and the composition of the ageing exposome remain largely undefined. This gap may persist as the field lacks agnostic investigations accounting for non-linearity, interactions and subtle signals. We aimed to identify exposures predictive of epigenetic ageing accumulated during childhood and adolescence and explore the composition of the...

16
Dietary patterns and nutritional composition of packed lunches in early years education settings
2026-03-04 nutrition 10.64898/2026.03.03.26347536
Top 8% (0.5%)
Show abstract

BackgroundPacked lunches are a common feature of early childhood food provision, yet evidence describing their nutritional composition in early years settings remains limited. Understanding the foods provided during this developmental period is important, given the potential influence of early dietary exposures on later health. AimTo characterise the composition, nutritional quality, cost, and dietary patterns of packed lunches brought from home in Early Childhood Education and Care settings, a...

17
Shared multicellular injury programs of acute and chronic kidney disease enable mechanistic patient stratification
2026-03-06 nephrology 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347522
Top 9% (0.5%)
Show abstract

Acute kidney injury (AKI) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are two interconnected clinical conditions, both defined by degree of functional impairment, but with heterogeneous clinical trajectories. Using new transcriptomic technologies, recent studies have described the cellular diversity in the healthy and injured kidney at the single cell level. Here, we used single nucleus transcriptomics to investigate the molecular diversity and commonalities in kidney biopsies from over 150 participants wi...

18
Pan-cancer tumour classification and risk stratification from whole-genome somatic variants via dual-task representation learning
2026-03-04 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.03.02.26347318
Top 9% (0.5%)
Show abstract

Tumour typing from whole-genome sequencing is increasingly accurate, yet molecular subtyping from somatic variants remains challenging because of tumour heterogeneity and inconsistent clinical annotations. Here, we present Mutation-Attention Dual-Task (MuAt2), a Transformer model that jointly classifies histological tumour types and subtypes directly from somatic single-nucleotide variants, indels and structural variants. MuAt2 leverages encoders pre-trained on 2,587 pan-cancer whole genomes, an...

19
Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) Increases Long-Term Survival Rate after Surgery in Colorectal Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
2026-03-06 nutrition 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347672
Top 9% (0.5%)
Show abstract

Abstract Background: Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) optimizes perioperative management for colorectal cancer (CRC), improving short-term outcomes, but its impact on long-term outcomes remains inconclusive, supporting the need for this meta-analysis. This study evaluates the effect of perioperative ERAS (therapy-focused) on 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year postoperative survival in patients with CRC. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis following a pre-registered protocol in ...

20
Large-scale genome-wide analyses of proteomic data identifies that sex hormones affect plasma glycodelin levels
2026-03-06 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.03.06.26347586
Top 10% (0.5%)
Show abstract

Study question: How is glycodelin, a glycoprotein secreted by reproductive tissues, causally related to reproductive diseases and traits? Summary answer: We present evidence for a causal role of sex hormones in determining glycodelin levels, but limited evidence that glycodelin subsequently causally impacts reproductive traits. What is known already: Glycodelin is expressed in female and male reproductive tissues and has four glycoforms (-A, -C, -F and -S), with the glycosylation pattern determi...